Since I figured this was going to be a single encounter, I started with a tough 800xp budget. I knew I wanted my leader to be a tiefling heretic. I gave him some hobgoblin buddies, including a warcaster, just because I like hobgoblin warcasters.
So the encounter was:
1 tiefling heretic (level 6 artillery, 250 xp)
1 hobgoblin warcaster (level 3 controller, 150 xp)
3 hobgoblin soldiers (level 3 soldier, 450 xp each)
4 hobgoblin grunts (level 3 minion, 300 xp total)
Map: Forest Cliff Lair from Fantastic Locations: Dragondown Grotto
So I kinda went over budget and created a tough 1000xp fight. I tried to separate it by moving one soldier and two grunts outside the lair into the woods as guards, which would have changed it into an easy 225xp encounter and a tough 775xp one. So of course the PCs bluffed their way into being escorted by the outside guards into the depths of the cave and then got jumped by everything at once.
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Analysis:
Hobgoblin phalanx AC bonuses really shut the party down, while at the same time the tiefling heretic couldn't seem to miss the ranger. Every PC except the wizard was knocked to zero hp at least once, and the wizard was down to 4 hp when it was all over. With the beating they got, I'm not sure they're going to want to track down this tiefling's cabal...
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